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GILD company mark

Oral lenacapavir

Rx-GILD-2702GILD/FDA decisionResearch

Gilead Sciences · HIV pre-exposure prophylaxisFeb 2, 2027 target

Will the FDA approve Oral lenacapavir for HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis?

YGILD
GILD-YES/ USDC

Outcome claim / Research candidate

NOT LISTED
Executable price
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Implied YES probability—Price-based, not a clinical forecast
0.0¢20.0¢40.0¢60.0¢80.0¢100.0¢——————OBSERVATION TIME / UTC
Market not listed

No market price yet.

This program has no funded pool or observed trading history. Start with the evidence, or explore a clearly labeled scenario.

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YES —NO —

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Rx-GILD-2702 / Evidence

Unlisted
Pool price—No deployed pool
Dated model P(YES)—No dated model artifact
Days to sponsor target92Date-only guidance
Source publishedJun 15, 2026
Research snapshotOct 28, 2026
FDA targetFeb 2, 2027
Small moleculeFormulation-specific trial not linked

A pool price describes trading inventory; a model estimates an outcome. Neither a live price nor a dated forecast is available for this unlisted catalyst.

Program overview

Sponsor reports acceptance for a once-weekly oral PrEP formulation, with a February 2, 2027 FDA target.

THERAPEUTIC AREAInfectious disease
DRUG / PROGRAMOral lenacapavir
INDICATIONHIV pre-exposure prophylaxis
REGULATORY TARGETFebruary 2, 2027
Agent model / unavailable

No reviewed probability or reasoning artifact is available. A neutral pool opening is not a clinical base rate.

What matters

  • Existing twice-yearly injectable approval is not approval of this weekly oral formulation; ticker stock hedge is especially noisy.
  • Approval, the stock price and commercial success are different outcomes. A claim only pays on its specified event.
  • Future program funding and tokenized financing require separate rights and contracts. An event claim gives no equity, royalty or drug IP.
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